The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway in 6 pm ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 gambling odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) aren’t too far behind in what’s going to be the greatest race of this year.
Nick Giffen uses his statistical model to disability the four best futures betting values from the race.
For the second consecutive weekend, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing in Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). But this time instead of an All-Star shootout, drivers are in for a grueling 600 miles in the Cup Series’ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oval with a comparatively old surface which has been repaved back in 2006. We saw from the All-Star race which tires did make a difference and track position was also extremely significant, therefore this race ought to provide a great mix of numerous 1.5-mile tracks.
The most recent 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race in Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five at typical green-flag rate all showed up at the top nine at 15-lap rate in Happy Hour, despite the race being during the night and final practice during the day.
We have a similar scenario at Charlotte this weekend, so I will certainly rely on long-haul pace in addition to 1.5-mile performance this season and beyond Charlotte oval functionality when handicapping the race.
Equipped with these data points, let’s get right to my favorite bets to win tonight’s race, also bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A quick primer on the odds under: A $100 wager at +375 chances would gain $375, while a $200 wager at -200 odds would cover $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Win
Kyle Busch is the favorite thanks to his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this year. However, it might be argued that Harvick should be a co-favorite despite finishing only 13th on the 10-lap board in final practice.
That is because in opening practice, he had been much better relative to the rest of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time during the cooler temperatures is encouraging. In fact, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are extremely sensitive to monitor changes, which they were really great in opening practice during the warmer temperatures.
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